Tesla 2023 Market Forecast Sounds Like Russian Military Propaganda

Unmoored. Unrealistic. Unlikely. Underperform.

Ask me why Tesla is tanking.

If there’s one thing we no longer can dispute about Russian predictions for its “space age technology” T72 tank variant (e.g. optimistically branded T90) is that they aren’t anything like what was promised.

They’re death traps using a “go big” mindest that thinks a dumb “rapid charge” into things (while ignoring how much strategic thought has changed) will somehow not be a financial and moral disaster.

Almost as bad as Tesla.

Bloomberg got right to the point and said Tesla is right now peddling market blindness, almost nonsense.

The company’s forecast for vehicle production falls short of estimates and its focus on compound annual growth obscures 2023’s sharp slowdown.

Some analysts quoted how dumb the dictator sounds, sheltered from critics while obsessed with fans.

“Let me check my Twitter account. OK, so I’ve got 127 million followers, and it continues to grow very rapidly,” Musk said. “That suggests that I’m reasonably popular. Now, I might not be popular with some people, but for the vast majority of people, my follower count speaks for itself. I’m the most interacted social media account, I think maybe in the world, certainly on Twitter”…

Journalists: Here’s a problem
Musk: I can’t see it and neither can my followers
Journalists: That makes three problems
Musk: My followers will find you, and will harm you, unless I can assassinate you first, if you know what I mean.

Might makes right?

I’m sure Putin right now is telling someone he has so many followers he can’t be doing anything unpopular, arguing he shouldn’t listen to anyone other than his loyalists.

There’s something special in that message, a dangerous market warning even.

Nobody will be allowed to have more followers than the platform dictator.

In fact, Trump not too long ago has 140 million Twitter followers. Fraud, amiright? That was a reflection of a very unpopular man who took other people’s money to do very bad things.

That’s a similar story to Musk, who is right now not even in the top ten of popularity while claiming he’s “growing rapidly” by being “most interacted” (e.g. such self-arousal shouldn’t be confused with being liked by others).

Pride before the fall.

More to the point, Musk is getting booed in public because he’s known as an abusive liar, a toxic brand too scared to face reality. Him thinking he isn’t accountable to victims because he has fans, is a perfect example of why he can’t be trusted.

The question Musk was supposed to answer was about Tesla brand, which is weak. And it’s getting weaker because of who follows him.

Tesla’s brand could be stronger… Automotive brands are typically worth about 40% of the auto makers’ market capitalization, but Tesla’s brand value divided by market cap is about 16%. The figure for Mercedes is more than 70%.

A charity warns it can’t even give away a Tesla now.

…entrants have said they no longer want to win a Tesla thanks to Elon Musk.

That’s how popular Musk has become by surrounding himself with people who tell him only what he wants to hear.

And so we see the Tesla truck, promised years ago, is a total failure in both design and timing. The company had to stop production and drop prices 20% across its models to find any buyers, even as other EV brands saw increased interest (e.g. Tesla fell out of the top ten EV sold in Germany, and couldn’t attract workers there either). Nobody is buying their luxury models anymore. There has been almost no innovation since 2012 and it’s being classified a mediocre small scale car manufacturer, left in the dust by technology companies and legacy brands. The CEO was exposed in court testimony for intentional deception.

That’s the real quarterly update, but you’re about as likely to hear that from Musk as a tank casualty read out from Putin.

Tesla or T90? Both promised “space age technology” yet instead quickly became known for huge losses among those who unfortunately believed the lies.

Tesla competitors probably know the song in my head that comes naturally at the end of Musk’s sad disinformation performance.

Flexible Metal NASA Robot Tires Now Available for Bicycles

NASA metal tires allegedly never get flat or… tired

A couple of the awards at this year’s CES mentioned a metal mesh tire, based on NASA research and missions.

Originally developed by NASA and now commercialized for terrestrial use by The SMART Tire Company, these superelastic tires are airless, durable and will never go flat. Made from a special advanced material, NiTinol+ (nickel titanium), a shape memory alloy (SMA) that’s elastic like rubber, yet strong like titanium.

Priced at only $100 it seems too good to be true.

Its primary claim is durability, since the metal lasts far longer than rubber and is puncture proof. This is huge news for military applications (such as this or this), not to mention other forms of disaster response.

Swiss book about a century of bikes used in war, which gets far less attention than it should.
This is the U.S. Army bike used by Black soldiers in the 1890s to literally invent mountain biking by riding through the Rockies without roads. Source: Online Bicycle Museum

Makes sense I guess for anyone commuting on the moon. However, the tire seems to lack traction and performance data. NASA missions don’t typically deal with the environments and behaviors found on Earth. And what do they sound like, tank treads on pavement like the Battle of Singapore bikes?

Public Groups Identify Tesla Terrorist After Unexplained Police Delay

A data sharing initiative using a social media platform has identified the Tesla driver implicated in several years of violent attacks in Los Angeles.

…Eyewitness News videos [were published by a Tiktok user and] three people came forward with the suspect’s name, which he passed along to police. Local law enforcement believe they have identified the man, but an arrest has not been made yet. One of the suspect’s attacks included punching a woman in the face and leaving her with a black eye in October 2021.

Given that his Tesla, despite illegally hiding its license plate, is easily tracked with date and time to exact locations where he targeted victims… it will be interesting to hear why police have delayed so long and allowed crimes to continue.

It has begun to look like a domestic terrorism case. Widespread sharing of the suspect’s identity fortunately may lessen his ability to freely victimize targets, despite lack of police protection.

Consumer Reports Warns Tesla Autopilot Safety is Far Behind Competitors

Years ago I gave presentations demonstrating how Tesla’s “Autopilot” was ranked dead last by industry experts. NVidia in particular, the real brains behind some of the most advanced and best driver assist options, rated Tesla engineering far behind every other car brand.

It looks like the general public has finally caught up to technologists, as Consumer Reports deservedly dumped the Tesla product down to seventh place behind far more ethical and capable EV companies.

“After all this time, Autopilot still doesn’t allow collaborative steering and doesn’t have an effective driver monitoring system,” said Consumer Reports Auto Testing director Jake Fisher in a statement.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration is investigating 830,000 Tesla vehicles with Autopilot after a series of crashes with parked emergency vehicles.

NHTSA is reviewing whether Tesla vehicles adequately ensure drivers are paying attention. In June, the agency said evidence suggested drivers in most crashes with emergency vehicles under review had complied with Tesla’s alert strategy that seeks to compel driver attention, raising questions about its effectiveness.

NHTSA Acting Administrator Ann Carlson said earlier this month the agency was “working really fast” on its Autopilot probe. “We’re moving as quickly as we can, but we also want to be careful and make sure we have all the information we need,” she said.

In 2020, the National Transportation Safety Board criticized Tesla’s “ineffective monitoring of driver engagement” after a 2018 fatal Autopilot crash.

Autopilot enables cars to steer, accelerate and brake within their lanes without driver intervention but Tesla says the feature requires “active driver supervision and do not make the vehicle autonomous.”

NHTSA has separately opened more than three dozen Tesla special crash investigations where advanced systems including Autopilot were suspected of being used with 19 crash deaths reported.

It’s not just that Tesla was dumped down to seventh place, it’s that 10 out of 10 Autopilot deaths are Tesla and their fatality rate is rising fast. For example Nissan didn’t even have one single crash to report, despite over 600,000 vehicles operating its direct competitor to Autopilot.

Mercedes Benz Profit Sharing With Nearly 100K Workers Sets New Record

Two car brands couldn’t be more opposite in German industry news, Mercedes luxuriates while Tesla dies.

A new Mercedes EV not only looks and performs decades ahead of the cheap and tired 1990s-era concepts of Tesla, its success is being passed along to the workers making it.

Mercedes has announced a new record high in profit sharing.

Mercedes-Benz’s 93,000 German Employees Getting €7,300 Bonus. Mercedes-Benz’s latest bonus payout to its employees is even higher than last year’s €6,000

The German car company has demonstrated several major industry leading innovations already being made available.

Last May, Mercedes-Benz became the first OEM in the world to receive international certification for conditionally automated driving.

In related updates, Mercedes is set to share its massive high capacity North American charging network with all cars.

Shared ride on a shared charger. Tesla talks nonsense about branded, proprietary, competitive charging that is unsafe… while the EU has cleanly, quietly and professionally deployed 99% more EV infrastructure.
This is great news since Europe is already so far ahead of America on charging deployment and interoperability.

In 2021, the continent had an estimated 375,000 charging stations. …even the most conservative scenario—the EU-27 will need at least 3.4 million operational public charging points by 2030.

It’s all stark contrast from the bitterly shrinking and unpopular Tesla, which has struggled to attract workers in Germany and pushed an oversubscribed, dirty and proprietary charging network. (By 2021 Tesla had managed to get up barely 6,000 charging stations — 1% of the market).

Obviously when the EU banned non-interoperability for chargers, they should have banned Tesla.

Those who did make the mistake of accepting a job from the notorious South African-run abusive brand have reported unfair and chaoticly cruel mistreatment, just like every other Tesla workplace. It’s basically a dead brand, unsafe at any speed.

…alienating its customers, bringing in less revenue, and falling behind legacy carmakers.

After all, who in Germany would want to work for a racist dictator known for things like poisoning children?